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Report 1  /  China outbound series  /  September 2026

After the factory moves

Chinese manufacturers have put $78 billion of plant into Southeast Asia. The finance, data and compliance systems behind those plants have not followed at the same speed.

$78 bnChinese manufacturing investment stock in ASEAN at the end of 2025, up from $32 billion in 2020.
$263 bnMachinery and electrical equipment shipped from China to five ASEAN economies in 2025, up from $136 billion.
842Privately controlled, listed Chinese manufacturers that earn at least 30 percent of revenue outside mainland China.
15 to 1Ratio of Chinese manufacturing investment to Chinese IT and software investment in ASEAN.
8 of 10Invoicing, data protection and minimum-tax regimes in the five main host countries that are fully in force.
59%Share of Chinese companies abroad that still run overseas finance offline or on basic accounting software.

Key findings

Four things the data show

The analysis draws on Chinese and host-country investment statistics, customs data and the filings of 5,569 listed companies.

01

Manufacturing leads China’s investment in the region by a wide margin

The stock of Chinese manufacturing investment in ASEAN rose from $32 billion to $78 billion in five years. Investment in IT, software and telecom services reached $5.2 billion, or 7 percent of the manufacturing total.

China outward direct investment stock in ASEAN by sector

USD billion021426385201520172019202120232025Manufacturing 78.4Wholesale and retail 48.3Leasing and business services 26.9Financial services 11.7IT and software 5.2

Source: Ministry of Commerce of China, via Wind; HEXU analysis.

02

The equipment has followed the capital

Exports of machinery and electrical equipment to five ASEAN economies grew from $136 billion to $263 billion. Shipments to Thailand multiplied 2.4 times and shipments to Vietnam 2.1 times.

Exports under HS chapters 84 and 85, USD billion

20202025MultipleVietnam52.7109.12.1xThailand19.547.82.4xMalaysia23.043.81.9xIndonesia15.934.02.1xSingapore24.828.71.2x

Source: General Administration of Customs of China, via Wind; HEXU analysis.

03

Software has not followed the factories

Automotive companies multiplied their overseas revenue 2.7 times between 2020 and 2025. Computer and software companies grew 1.5 times from a far smaller base. Most Chinese manufacturers abroad are not being followed by Chinese IT service providers.

Overseas revenue of A-share companies by sector, RMB billion

20202025MultipleElectronics9101,6131.8xAutomotive4621,2542.7xPower equipment3418192.4xMachinery2195262.4xHome appliances4446551.5xComputer and software1081641.5x

Source: Company annual reports, via Wind; constant sample of companies reporting in both years; HEXU analysis.

04

The rules changed while the plants were being built

Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia now require invoices to pass through the tax authority’s platform. Four countries regulate the transfer of personal data to headquarters. All five apply the 15 percent global minimum tax.

Status of ten regimes that affect a plant’s finance and IT systems

2024202520262027202820292030Sep 2026Malaysia: e-invoicePhases 1-3All taxpayers above RM3mVietnam: e-invoiceDecree 70Decree 254Indonesia: CoretaxTransitionClearance modelSingapore: InvoiceNowNew voluntary registrantsAll GST-registered by Apr 2031Thailand: e-Tax invoiceVoluntary, incentives to end-2027Vietnam: data lawPersonal Data Protection LawMalaysia: data lawAmended PDPAIndonesia: data lawPDP Law; regulator pendingThailand: data lawPDPA; first fines Aug 202415% minimum taxVietnamAll five countriesIn forcePhased roll-outVoluntary

Source: National tax and data protection authorities; adviser publications listed in the report. Status as of 28 September 2026.

Who is exposed

842 manufacturers, mostly mid-sized

Of these, 553 employ between 1,000 and 20,000 people. Their median revenue is RMB 2.6 billion and the median company earns 53 percent of revenue abroad.

Billing

A plant that invoices from a spreadsheet cannot obtain clearance from a government platform without manual re-entry.

People data

Payroll and attendance records sent to headquarters are now a regulated transfer in four countries.

Group reporting

Headquarters consolidates in one chart of accounts and the plant keeps books in another. Reconciliation is done by hand.

What to do

A 180-day plan to catch up

Companies that begin by selecting software tend to automate the process they already have. We recommend starting with the facts.

Days 1 to 30

Establish the facts
  • List every legal entity, its activity and turnover.
  • Record which rules apply to each entity today.
  • Name one executive who owns the result.

Days 31 to 90

Close the urgent gaps
  • Connect billing to the tax platform in each clearance country.
  • File transfer assessments and appoint data protection officers.
  • Agree one group chart of accounts.

Days 91 to 180

Build for the next plant
  • Choose a standard system template for new sites.
  • Review rule changes in each country every quarter.
  • Report compliance status to the board twice a year.

The full report has nine exhibits, country-by-country rules and the method.

This summary is not legal or tax advice. Thresholds and dates change often.

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Contact [email protected] Margot Product Strategy & Narrative Lead